TITLE :
Conceptualizing infectious
disease risk in space and time: sleeping sickness in Uganda
AUTHORS:
Lea Berrang-Ford, James Ford,
Barry Smit, David Waltner-Toews, John McDermott
ABSTRACT
Diseases often vary over space and through time. The understanding of
causal relationships of disease risk can benefit from characterization
of the spatial and temporal processes contributing to disease variation.
This paper offers a framework for explicitly conceptualizing spatial and
temporal relationships in the case of sleeping sickness in south-eastern
Uganda. We identify broad categories of sleeping sickness determinants
at multiple scales, and the main interactions over scales, space and time.
In doing so, we highlight the role of both biological and social factors
and their interactions, including the importance of civil conflict and
political unrest, in the occurrence of sleeping sickness epidemics. The
framework is used to conceptualize causal processes for sleeping sickness
in south-eastern Uganda, including potential determinants of spatial variation
(land cover change, and human and cattle host densities) and of temporal
variation (social conflict). Conceptual approaches such as the framework
used here can provide a structure for the synthesis and interpretation
of existing research, as well as a guide for future research.
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